Release date of the new expansion

90 Undead Rogue
10380
So I made a few, rough, calculations and came up with some dates and, more importantly, a possible time span when the next expansion will be released. Just keep reading and I'll conclude along the way.

Expansion announcements:
# announced tbc 28 oct 2005
644 days passes...
# announced wotlk 03 aug 2007
749 days passes...
# announced cata 21 aug 2009
791 days passes...
# announced mop 21 oct 2011
---

Mean value between announcements: 728 days.

This means that the next announcement is expected to take place the 18th of october 2013, but more likely 8-9th of november 2013, because of blizzcon (749 days after the announcement of MoP).

Let's continue and look at the time difference between announcements and releases of the expansions:
# announced tbc 28 oct 2005
# tbc released 16 jan 2007
=445 days
# announced wotlk 03 aug 2007
# wotlk release 13 nov 2008
=468 days
# announced cata 21 aug 2009
# cata release 07 dec 2010
=473 days
# announced mop 21 oct 2011
# mop release 25 sep 2012
=340 days

Mean value between announcement and release of an expansion: 432 days

As I earlier stated the next expansion will most likely be announced on 8-9th of november. The calculated mean value of days between announcement and the release of an expansion added to the possible announcement date, 8th of november, tells us the release date will be:
14th of january 2015.

This is of course just an estimate of time, based on a few facts and is most probably not correct due to increasing staff.

Therefore we'll take a look at the days between the announcement of MoP and it's release; it only counts 340 days, less than a year. If we choose this value as the absolute minimum value and the mean value as the maximum, the release of the next expansion will happen between:
14th of october 2014 - 14th of january 2015 (a three mounth time span).

If you find any mistakes in my calculations or reasoning, don't be shy to state it.

Happy farming,
Kalki/Outland
Edited by Kalki on 26/08/2013 11:32 BST
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90 Orc Death Knight
10600
Pretty much. Blizzcon is going to announce the Dark Below which will most likely hit beta during summer and will be live october. Pretty much as it was in MoP :)

Good post tho!
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90 Undead Rogue
10380
Thanks!

MoP had alot of starting content but only a 340 day period between announcement and release, which is a deviation from previous releases. The possibility that the same will happen to the new expansion seems likeley due to increased staff (as in MoP).
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90 Blood Elf Hunter
9470
Hope they announce some Vanilla/TBC Servers.
http://youtu.be/jy2qal0-Orw
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90 Worgen Warrior
8925
Hope they announce some Vanilla/TBC Servers.
http://youtu.be/jy2qal0-Orw


nope nor will they ever not until wow has less than 1million players will they risk such a thing
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90 Blood Elf Hunter
9470
nope nor will they ever not until wow has less than 1million players will they risk such a thing


Did not say they would just,
Hope.
http://bit.ly/18Vvdrb
Edited by Maricela on 26/08/2013 14:50 BST
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